Supporting Myanmar's Aspiration of a Federal Democracy

“People need to understand that the military junta has no ability to govern or to bring stability to the country. Nor is there some easy compromise deal to be struck through a couple of weeks’ negotiation. There should be an effort to support all of the elements that are trying to build a new Myanmar.”

Scot Marciel, the U.S. Ambassador to Myanmar from 2016 to 2020, joined our podcast, where he offered a candid reflection on navigating the complex diplomatic landscape of a country in transition.

During his tenure, he witnessed both democratic progress and devastating setbacks, including the Rohingya crisis, which he described as the most challenging experience of his career. Marciel grappled with the limitations of international sanctions, questioning their efficacy while recognizing the justified anger behind them. He advocated for a balance between engagement and pressure, emphasizing that progress requires proactive support for democratic forces, even in less-than-ideal circumstances. His nuanced approach underscored the importance of understanding Myanmar’s deep-rooted political and social complexities to craft effective solutions.

In reflecting on the current crisis following the 2021 military coup, Marciel is firm in his belief that engaging the junta is futile, advocating instead for robust support of local governance, civil society, and resistance movements. He acknowledges the risks involved in arming resistance groups but urges the international community not to be paralyzed by fear of escalation. Instead, he calls for strategic investments in Myanmar's future, such as preparing for reconstruction and supporting federal democratic initiatives.

Ambassador Marciel’s quote is a clarion call to confront the stark reality of Myanmar’s political crisis with both honesty and resolve. His words dismantle any illusions that the military junta can provide governance or stability, reminding us that their grip on power is sustained through violence, repression, and fear—not legitimacy or competence. Marciel highlights the futility of seeking easy compromises or quick fixes through shallow negotiations, urging the international community to reject the notion that the junta is a viable partner for peace. His statement challenges us to shift focus from appeasement to empowerment, standing with the diverse movements striving to build a democratic, inclusive Myanmar.

Marciel’s vision demands a bold and proactive approach, one that recognizes the interconnected efforts of ethnic groups, civil disobedience movements, and pro-democracy advocates as the true architects of Myanmar’s future. Supporting these elements is not just a moral imperative; it is the only viable path to sustainable peace. His words resonate with urgency, calling for meaningful action to amplify these voices, provide resources, and lay the groundwork for a federal democracy. This is not the time for half-measures or political posturing—it is a moment for solidarity, conviction, and the unwavering commitment to a Myanmar free from tyranny. Marciel reminds us that inaction and equivocation serve only the oppressors; justice and stability can only emerge from standing firmly with those daring to dream of a better nation.

Listen to his full episode by subscribing to Insight Myanmar wherever you get your podcasts.